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2020-06-16
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< ol class = "toc" > < li class = "toc-item toc-level-2" > < a class = "toc-link" href = "#为什么追求发展" > < span class = "toc-text" > 为什么追求发展< / span > < / a > < / li > < li class = "toc-item toc-level-2" > < a class = "toc-link" href = "#Environmental-Kuznet-Curve" > < span class = "toc-text" > Environmental Kuznet Curve< / span > < / a > < / li > < li class = "toc-item toc-level-2" > < a class = "toc-link" href = "#概念图" > < span class = "toc-text" > 概念图< / span > < / a > < / li > < / ol >
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< / div > < div class = "post-content" > < p > 经济学是一门研究选择的学问。人们活在世上总是在进行着各种选择。发展落后的国家希望尽快工业化发展经济,来改善自己的生存环境。而工业化后的国家则希望发展同时兼顾环境。于是落后国家需要50年来发展工业,搞基建,破坏环境。之后的50年则拼命治理环境,发展生态。由于地球生态是一个整体,发达国家非常不爽落后的国家搞工业化污染环境,于是各种矛盾。不过在21世纪,有望利用信息数字科技打破50-50年法则,为新一批的国家崛起提供蹊径( ๑´•ω•) “< / p >
< a id = "more" > < / a >
< h2 id = "为什么追求发展" > < a href = "#为什么追求发展" class = "headerlink" title = "为什么追求发展" > < / a > 为什么追求发展< / h2 > < p > 自然环境较为恶劣,不完全适合人类生存。于是具备主观能动性的人类开始由改造环境的冲动。这一心理行为逐步早就了名为“发展”的宏伟故事,大家都对其深信不已。就像故事中所描述的一样,人们为了实现这一目标开始减少内耗(战争),社会趋于高度分工化。< / p >
< p > 人类有一种基本心理效应叫蔡格尼克效应,讲的是人如果开始做一件事情便会难以在中途停下来。这一效应在群体行为中则会变本加厉的体现。当人们开始追求发展,并且得到了一定的激励(生活的确更舒适了,至少人们是这样认为的),于是这个势头便不会轻易停下来了,于是人类进入了千年级别的发展时期。< / p >
< p > 发展初期,太多的基础设施需要建设,太多的工业需要发展,最重要的是这个时候大家都很穷,都只是在一个信念的支撑下在向着发展的目标努力搞生产。而且一般当这个时候,往往会有其他强国对你虎视眈眈,所以这个时候,大家都会很团结,但不会像祖先以及后辈一样在乎什么环境生态的。只有一个想法便是希望发展起来。< / p >
< p > 经过大约50年的发展,生活好了,底气足了,开始关注一些更长久的事情,比如教育和环境。于是接下来的50年,开始拼命治理环境,搞教育。于是渐渐的环境好了,下一代也成长起来了。于是年轻一代们便利用他们头脑中的书本知识,开始批判祖先们破坏环境这不好那不好,开始投科研资金,股市凡是跟环保相关的板块开始居高不下,可持续发展开始成为许多人的口头禅。而这时,当时那些破坏环境的罪魁祸首们正退休在家里乐呵呵的看着这一切的发生。大概就是这么一个过程了。< / p >
< h2 id = "Environmental-Kuznet-Curve" > < a href = "#Environmental-Kuznet-Curve" class = "headerlink" title = "Environmental Kuznet Curve" > < / a > Environmental Kuznet Curve< / h2 > < p > < img src = "https://yimian-image.obs.myhwclouds.com/blog/70-1.png" alt = "Environmental Kuznet Curve" > < / p >
< p > 上图的曲线非常科学地向我们展示出了一个国家在发展与环境之间摇摆的必然趋势。在这一图表的背后,反应出了以下几点:< / p >
< ul >
< li > 人们倾向于只考虑自己的假设< / li >
< li > 不同于个体的人群特性< / li >
< li > 生存资源稀缺< / li >
< li > 生产资料流通低效< / li >
< / ul >
< p > 这意味着,如果能够改变上述的任何一个条件,Kuznet 诅咒便有希望得以改变,从而减小摆动周期和幅度,控制环境重建与修复成本,真正在宏观上实现人们所希望的高效率可持续发展。而新一代的数字信息技术正是这一可能性得以实践的关键。< / p >
< h2 id = "概念图" > < a href = "#概念图" class = "headerlink" title = "概念图" > < / a > 概念图< / h2 >
<!-- 引入mermaid制图 -->
< div class = "mermaid" >
graph TD
A{Environment}
B{Economy}
C{Society}
D[GDB Based]
E[NNI** HDI]
F[Kuznet Curve]
G[Env Kuznet Curve]
H((Human Nature))
I[Human Behavior]
J[Improve Living Environment]
K[Request for Dev]
A --> J
J --> K
K --> B
B --> |measured by| D
D --> |neglect| C
B --> |predicted by| F
F --> C
D --> |foments| I
D --> |spoils| A
G --> C
H --> I
E --> |consider| A
B --> E
A --> H
I --> |caused by| C
I --> A
< / div >
< hr >
< p > < strong > 参考课件:< / strong > < br > < a href = "https://yimian-attachment.obs.myhwclouds.com/ppt/lan104/Week%202%20Economic%20Development%20%20The%20Environment.pdf" target = "_blank" rel = "noopener" > Economic Development and The Environment.pdf< / a > < / p >
< / div >
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img.vimg:hover {
transform: rotate(360deg);
-webkit-transform: rotate(360deg);
-moz-transform: rotate(360deg);
-o-transform: rotate(360deg);
-ms-transform: rotate(360deg);
}
/* 盒子模式 */
#vcomments .vcards .vcard {
padding: 15px 20px 0 20px;
border-radius: 10px;
margin-bottom: 15px;
box-shadow: 0 0 4px 1px rgba(0, 0, 0, .12);
transition: all .3s
}
#vcomments .vcards .vcard:hover {
box-shadow: 0 0 8px 3px rgba(0, 0, 0, .12)
}
#vcomments .vcards .vcard .vh .vcard {
border: none;
box-shadow: none;
}
< / style >
< script >
pjax_valine = () => {
new Valine({
el: '#vcomments',
appId: 'eVzpK7EyT6OafJvXWIRminWT-gzGzoHsz',
appKey: '2qjuEBgVE0BscTQnTmoS9roU',
master: '9b616ff4cd6c305e5970bee7b1bd9b1f', //博主邮箱md5
tagMeta: ["博主","小伙伴","访客"], //标识字段名
friends: ["b6ddef7c7e1c647e7767afeacdfb7b64","46dd4e6fef4f9591736c4723a965ca2e"], //小伙伴邮箱Md5
metaPlaceholder: {"nick":"昵称/QQ号","mail":"邮箱(完全保密)"},
placeholder: "填写邮箱可以及时收到回复哦(●'◡'●)",
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enableQQ: true,
visitor: true,
emojiCDN: '//i0.hdslb.com/bfs/emote/',
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"tv_生病": "8b0ec90e6b86771092a498c54f09fc94621c1900.png",
"tv_疑问": "0793d949b18d7be716078349c202c15ff166f314.png",
"tv_白眼": "c1d59f439e379ee50eef488bcb5e5378e5044ea4.png",
"tv_皱眉": "72ccad6679fea0d14cce648b4d818e09b8ffea2d.png",
"tv_目瞪口呆": "0b8cb81a68de5d5365212c99375e7ace3e7891b7.png",
"tv_睡着": "8b196675b53af58264f383c50ad0945048290b33.png",
"tv_笑哭": "1abc628f6d4f4caf9d0e7800878f4697abbc8273.png",
"tv_腼腆": "89712c0d4af73e67f89e35cbc518420380a7f6f4.png",
"tv_色": "61822c7e9aae5da76475e7892534545336b23a6f.png",
"tv_调侃": "4bc022533ef31544ca0d72c12c808cf4a1cce3e3.png",
"tv_调皮": "b9c41de8e82dd7a8515ae5e3cb63e898bf245186.png",
"tv_鄙视": "6e72339f346a692a495b123174b49e4e8e781303.png",
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"tv_黑人问号": "45821a01f51bc867da9edbaa2e070410819a95b2.png",
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// ... 更多表情
}
});
};
< / script > < script type = "text/javascript" src = "/lib/slideout/slideout.js" > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/lib/fancybox/jquery.fancybox.pack.js" > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/lib/iziToast/iziToast.min.js" > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/lib/iziModal/iziModal.min.js" > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/lib/mermaid/mermaid.min.js" > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/js/src/kayo.js?v=1.0.0" data-pjax > < / script >
< script type = "text/javascript" src = "/js/src/kayo-no-pjax.js?v=1.0.0" > < / script >
< script src = "/lib/aplayer/aplayer.min.js" > < / script >
< script >
$.post("https://api.yimian.xyz/msc/?type=playlist& id=808097971& limit=14& random=true", function(res){
$('body').append('< div class = "aplayer-footer" > < div class = "ap-f" id = "ap-f" > < / div > < / div > ');
var a = new APlayer({
element:document.getElementById("ap-f"),
autoplay: false,
fixed:true,
loop:"all",
order:"list",
listFolded:true,
showlrc:3,
theme:"",
listmaxheight:"200px",
music:res
});
window.aplayers || (window.aplayers = []),
window.aplayers.push(a);
window.aplayers[0].lrc.hide();
window.aplayers[0].on('play', function () {
window.aplayers[0].lrc.show();
});
window.aplayers[0].on('pause', function () {
window.aplayers[0].lrc.hide();
});
});
< / script > < script src = "https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/pjax/pjax.js" > < / script >
< script > w i n d o w . p j a x = n e w P j a x ( {
elements: 'a[href]:not([href^="#"]):not([href="javascript:void(0)"])',
selectors: ["head title, #main", "#footer"],
});/* 第一次载入页面加载的函数 */
pjax_ini = () => {
/* 关闭侧边栏 */
window.slideout.close();
if(page_obj.comments == "true"){pjax_valine();}mermaid.init(undefined, $(".mermaid"));};
/* 第一次 执行 */
pjax_ini();var loadingBar = document.querySelector(".loading-bar");
var progress = document.querySelector(".loading-bar .progress");
var timer = null;
// Pjax 开始时执行的函数
var loadingbarStart = function () {
// 进度条默认已经加载 20%
var loadingBarWidth = 20;
// 进度条的最大增加宽度
var MAX_LOADING_WIDTH = 95;
// 显示进度条
loadingBar.classList.add("loading");
// 初始化进度条的宽度
progress.style.width = loadingBarWidth + "%";
clearInterval(timer);
timer = setInterval(function () {
// 进度条的增加速度(可以改为一个随机值,显得更加真实)
loadingBarWidth += 3;
// 当进度条到达 95% 后停止增加
if (loadingBarWidth > MAX_LOADING_WIDTH) {
loadingBarWidth = MAX_LOADING_WIDTH;
}
progress.style.width = loadingBarWidth + "%";
}, 500);
};
// Pjax 完成之后执行的函数
var loadingbarStop = function () {
clearInterval(timer);
progress.style.width = "100%";
loadingBar.classList.remove("loading");
setTimeout(function () {
progress.style.width = 0;
}, 400);
};/* Pjax 开始时,重新加载的函数 */
document.addEventListener("pjax:send", function () {loadingbarStart();
});
/* Pjax 完成后,重新加载的函数 */
document.addEventListener("pjax:complete", function () {
/* 重载带data-pjax的script,或者.pjax-reload属性内容的script */
$("script[data-pjax], .pjax-reload script").each(function () {
$(this).parent().append($(this).remove());
});
pjax_ini();loadingbarStop();
});
/* Pjax 出错,执行的函数 */
document.addEventListener("pjax:error", function () {
});< / script >
< / body >
< / html >